Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.191472 1.376968 1.581224 1.822750 2.100500 2.409867 2.780594
2025-04-20 0.923195 1.162858 1.449487 1.817289 2.276586 2.831148 3.551723
2025-04-27 0.762275 1.035155 1.385878 1.869115 2.517304 3.356537 4.525995
2025-05-04 0.634866 0.922230 1.316140 1.894499 2.721327 3.860391 5.549313
2025-05-11 0.532121 0.821660 1.242376 1.896616 2.887255 4.330370 6.592895
2025-05-18 0.437918 0.715206 1.140241 1.836904 2.948674 4.652887 7.464110
2025-05-25 0.356855 0.613863 1.027760 1.739933 2.932826 4.849110 8.161338
2025-06-01 0.308630 0.556969 0.975544 1.728728 3.047749 5.259797 9.250648
2025-06-08 0.265176 0.500606 0.914760 1.691943 3.110950 5.588376 10.240614
2025-06-15 0.248206 0.488513 0.928291 1.786178 3.413928 6.363038 12.108825
2025-06-22 0.225299 0.461448 0.910234 1.818669 3.606622 6.962159 13.732754
2025-06-29 0.199621 0.424806 0.868536 1.799155 3.696149 7.378358 15.060942
2025-07-06 0.168247 0.372636 0.790891 1.701109 3.625508 7.494110 15.851140
2025-07-13 0.155520 0.357727 0.786561 1.752967 3.867770 8.261856 18.069976
2025-07-20 0.146955 0.350550 0.797401 1.838744 4.194071 9.245157 20.878704
2025-07-27 0.136119 0.336433 0.791037 1.885617 4.442212 10.096031 23.520149
2025-08-03 0.124272 0.317968 0.772107 1.900886 4.621040 10.818797 25.975532
2025-08-10 0.109620 0.290212 0.727428 1.848672 4.634934 11.172078 27.628855
2025-08-17 0.094599 0.258963 0.669595 1.755408 4.535887 11.248885 28.633314
2025-08-24 0.085953 0.242899 0.646889 1.746662 4.644288 11.832493 30.953157
2025-08-31 0.077010 0.224541 0.615598 1.710994 4.678853 12.239546 32.885644
2025-09-07 0.074850 0.224704 0.632925 1.807209 5.072593 13.599269 37.457683
2025-09-14 0.070174 0.216883 0.627570 1.840645 5.302262 14.566006 41.122093